BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Notre Dame
Class: 1 Class Rank: 20 Overall: (25-11) Overall Strength = 61.84
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (14-7) | District: 1-01 Record: (16-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-05-2025 Home W 78.89 98 52 1 144 (30- 5) F Dickinson 16.39 * 29.61
2 11-09-2025 Home W 67.65 116 58 1 348 ( 9-23) Chicago St 5.15 * 52.85
3 11-12-2025 Home W 47.12 85 58 1 301 ( 7-24) Akron -15.38 * 42.38
4 11-15-2025 Neutral L * 33.67 54 93 1 6 (28- 7) Michigan -28.83 -10.17
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 59.93 61 59 1 25 (18-14) Southern Cal -2.57 4.57
6 11-24-2025 Home W 67.87 83 51 1 126 (18-12) Central Michigan 5.37 26.63
7 12-04-2025 Away L * 58.23 62 69 1 19 (24-12) Mississippi -4.27 -2.73
8 12-07-2025 Away W * * 80.02 93 58 1 107 (10-21) Florida St 17.52 17.48
9 12-11-2025 Home W 75.78 97 48 1 223 (18-15) Morehead St 13.28 * 35.72
10 12-14-2025 Away W 67.68 78 65 1 48 (26- 9) James Madison 5.18 7.82
11 12-21-2025 Home W 69.31 110 38 1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine 6.81 * 65.19
12 12-29-2025 Home W * * 59.36 94 59 1 241 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh -3.14 * 38.14
13 01-01-2026 Away L * * 44.20 90 95 1 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech -18.30 13.30
14 01-04-2026 Away L * * 57.25 68 82 1 9 (27- 9) Duke -5.25 -8.75
15 01-08-2026 Home W * * 61.98 94 60 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College -0.52 * 34.52
16 01-11-2026 Home W * * 84.01 73 50 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina 21.51 1.49
17 01-15-2026 Home L * * 50.47 66 79 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville -12.03 -0.97
18 01-19-2026 Away L 49.51 47 85 1 2 (38- 1) Connecticut -12.99 -25.01
19 01-22-2026 Home W * * 55.72 74 66 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL -6.78 14.78
20 01-25-2026 Home L * * 43.68 58 65 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -18.82 11.82
21 01-29-2026 Away L * * 43.20 69 80 1 50 (21-15) California -19.30 8.30
22 02-01-2026 Away W * * 67.17 78 66 1 45 (21-14) Stanford 4.67 7.33
23 02-05-2026 Home W * * 61.41 80 70 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech -1.09 11.09
24 02-08-2026 Away L * * 47.18 70 81 1 39 (22-12) Virginia -15.32 4.32
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 69.56 79 67 1 29 (21-11) NC State 7.06 4.94
26 02-19-2026 Away W * * 65.06 78 54 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest 2.56 21.44
27 02-22-2026 Away W * 58.48 88 63 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU -4.02 * 29.02
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 61.23 72 62 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse -1.27 11.27
29 03-01-2026 Away W * * 71.84 65 62 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville 9.34 -6.34
30 03-05-2026 Neutral W * * 65.41 69 54 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL 2.91 12.09
31 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 78.25 81 63 1 29 (21-11) NC State 15.75 2.25
32 03-07-2026 Neutral L * * 66.57 63 65 1 9 (27- 9) Duke 4.07 -6.07
33 03-21-2026 Neutral W 66.61 79 60 1 58 (28- 5) Fairfield 4.11 14.89
34 03-23-2026 Away W * 77.73 83 73 1 10 (27- 8) Ohio St 15.23 -5.23
35 03-27-2026 Neutral W * 71.13 67 64 1 7 (29- 5) Vanderbilt 8.63 -5.63
36 03-29-2026 Neutral L 66.83 52 70 1 2 (38- 1) Connecticut 4.33 -22.33
Averages 62.50 77.1 65.1
Best game: 84.01 = 23 point win over North Carolina
Worst game: 33.67 = 39 point loss to Michigan
Team stdev: 11.87